Value of \(R_t\), the average number of secondary infections due to a typical infection today.
The percentage of a given group that has been infected.
## `summarise()` ungrouping output (override with `.groups` argument)
## `summarise()` ungrouping output (override with `.groups` argument)
## `summarise()` ungrouping output (override with `.groups` argument)
## `summarise()` regrouping output by 'region' (override with `.groups` argument)
## `summarise()` ungrouping output (override with `.groups` argument)
## `summarise()` regrouping output by 'region' (override with `.groups` argument)
## `summarise()` ungrouping output (override with `.groups` argument)
NB: negative growth rates are rates of decline. Values are daily changes.
| Region | Median | 95% CrI (lower) | 95% CrI (upper) |
|---|---|---|---|
| England | 0.06 | -0.03 | 0.11 |
| Lombardy | 0.06 | -0.03 | 0.11 |
Halving times in days, if a region shows growth than value will be N/A.
| Region | Median | 95% CrI (lower) | 95% CrI (upper) |
|---|---|---|---|
| England | NA | 22.83 | NA |
| Lombardy | NA | 22.83 | NA |
NB: negative growth rates are rates of decline. Values are daily changes.
| Region | Median | 95% CrI (lower) | 95% CrI (upper) |
|---|---|---|---|
| England | 0.06 | -0.03 | 0.14 |
| Lombardy | 0.06 | -0.03 | 0.14 |
Halving times in days, if a region shows growth than value will be N/A.
| Region | Median | 95% CrI (lower) | 95% CrI (upper) |
|---|---|---|---|
| England | NA | 22.33 | NA |
| Lombardy | NA | 22.33 | NA |
The blue lines show when interventions have been introduced (lockdown on 7 Mar), and the red line shows the date these results were produced (30 May).
## Warning: `arrange_()` is deprecated as of dplyr 0.7.0.
## Please use `arrange()` instead.
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## `summarise()` ungrouping output (override with `.groups` argument)
## `summarise()` ungrouping output (override with `.groups` argument)
## `summarise()` ungrouping output (override with `.groups` argument)
## `summarise()` ungrouping output (override with `.groups` argument)
## `summarise()` ungrouping output (override with `.groups` argument)
## `summarise()` ungrouping output (override with `.groups` argument)
## `summarise()` ungrouping output (override with `.groups` argument)
## `summarise()` ungrouping output (override with `.groups` argument)
The figure below shows the probability that \(R_t\) is greater than 1 (ie: the number of infections is growing) in each region over time. Clicking the regions in the legend allows lines to be added or removed from the figure.
## Warning in RColorBrewer::brewer.pal(N, "Set2"): minimal value for n is 3, returning requested palette with 3 different levels
## Warning in RColorBrewer::brewer.pal(N, "Set2"): minimal value for n is 3, returning requested palette with 3 different levels
Copyright © MRC Biostatistics Unit, University of Cambridge