Epidemic summary

Current \(R_t\)

Value of \(R_t\), the average number of secondary infections due to a typical infection today.

Number of infections

Attack rate

The percentage of a given group that has been infected.

By region

## `summarise()` ungrouping output (override with `.groups` argument)

By age

## `summarise()` ungrouping output (override with `.groups` argument)

IFR

## `summarise()` ungrouping output (override with `.groups` argument)

Change in infections incidence

Growth rates

## `summarise()` regrouping output by 'region' (override with `.groups` argument)
## `summarise()` ungrouping output (override with `.groups` argument)
## `summarise()` regrouping output by 'region' (override with `.groups` argument)
## `summarise()` ungrouping output (override with `.groups` argument)

NB: negative growth rates are rates of decline. Values are daily changes.

Region Median 95% CrI (lower) 95% CrI (upper)
England 0.06 -0.03 0.11
Lombardy 0.06 -0.03 0.11

Halving times

Halving times in days, if a region shows growth than value will be N/A.

Region Median 95% CrI (lower) 95% CrI (upper)
England NA 22.83 NA
Lombardy NA 22.83 NA

Change in deaths incidence

Growth rates

NB: negative growth rates are rates of decline. Values are daily changes.

Region Median 95% CrI (lower) 95% CrI (upper)
England 0.06 -0.03 0.14
Lombardy 0.06 -0.03 0.14

Halving times

Halving times in days, if a region shows growth than value will be N/A.

Region Median 95% CrI (lower) 95% CrI (upper)
England NA 22.33 NA
Lombardy NA 22.33 NA

Infections and deaths

The blue lines show when interventions have been introduced (lockdown on 7 Mar), and the red line shows the date these results were produced (30 May).

Infection incidence

By region

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By age

Cumulative infections

By region

By age

Deaths incidence

By region

## `summarise()` ungrouping output (override with `.groups` argument)
## `summarise()` ungrouping output (override with `.groups` argument)

By age

## `summarise()` ungrouping output (override with `.groups` argument)
## `summarise()` ungrouping output (override with `.groups` argument)
## `summarise()` ungrouping output (override with `.groups` argument)
## `summarise()` ungrouping output (override with `.groups` argument)
## `summarise()` ungrouping output (override with `.groups` argument)
## `summarise()` ungrouping output (override with `.groups` argument)

Cumulative deaths

By region

By age

Prob \(R_t > 1\)

The figure below shows the probability that \(R_t\) is greater than 1 (ie: the number of infections is growing) in each region over time. Clicking the regions in the legend allows lines to be added or removed from the figure.

## Warning in RColorBrewer::brewer.pal(N, "Set2"): minimal value for n is 3, returning requested palette with 3 different levels

## Warning in RColorBrewer::brewer.pal(N, "Set2"): minimal value for n is 3, returning requested palette with 3 different levels

\(R_t\)

Copyright © MRC Biostatistics Unit, University of Cambridge